Two players, one answer.
Jameson Williams vs Zay Flowers
This week
Toss-up · 8.8 to 8.7 projected (Week 9, Standard)
Rest of season
Zay Flowers by 3% (Redraft standard)Dynasty
Zay Flowers by 20% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · Standard · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Zay Flowers is projected 0.1 points ahead of Jameson Williams. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · BAL
Zay Flowers
8.8 projected
vs JAX · Thu 8:15 PM ET
11.7 a game this season · last 3: 6.7, 19.7, 0
WR · DET
Jameson Williams
8.7 projected
@ MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ET
10.5 a game this season · last 3: 16.7, 21.1, 13
- Jameson Williams has scored 16.9 a game over his last three, above his 10.5 season average.
What the call rests on
- Zay Flowers: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 5:50 PM ET
- Jameson Williams: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 5:50 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Nov 4, 5:58 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Nov 4, 5:58 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Flowers | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 14 | 12.6 |
| Half PPR | 11.4 | 10.7 |
| Standard | 8.8 | 8.7 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.1 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Zay Flowers plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Jameson Williams's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.