Two players, one answer.
Jayden Daniels vs Patrick Mahomes
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · Half PPR
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
Toss-up · 18.5 to 18 projected (Week 8, Half PPR)
Rest of season
Jayden Daniels by 23% (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
Jayden Daniels by 21% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · Half PPR · 52% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Jayden Daniels is projected 0.5 points ahead of Patrick Mahomes. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
QB · WAS
Jayden Daniels
18.5 projected
vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ET
21.4 a game this season · last 3: 14.7, 32.3, 21
QB · KC
Patrick Mahomes
18.0 projected
@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ET
17.3 a game this season · last 3: 17, 11.5, 7
- Patrick Mahomes's game has already kicked off, so most platforms have locked him in or out for this week.
- Patrick Mahomes has scored 11.8 a game over his last three, below his 17.3 season average.
What the call rests on
- Jayden Daniels: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 5:30 PM ET
- Patrick Mahomes: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 5:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Sun, Nov 1, 5:35 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Sun, Nov 1, 5:35 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.5 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Patrick Mahomes plays first (Sun 4:25 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Jayden Daniels's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.