Two players, one answer.
Jaylen Waddle vs Luther Burden III
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · Half PPR
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
Toss-up · 10.1 to 9.3 projected (Week 8, Half PPR)
Rest of season
Luther Burden III by 31% (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
Luther Burden III by 45% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · Half PPR · 54% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Luther Burden III is projected 0.8 points ahead of Jaylen Waddle. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 54% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · CHI
Luther Burden III
10.1 projected
@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET
11.4 a game this season · last 3: 6.9, 13.5, 21.7
WR · DEN
Jaylen Waddle
9.3 projected
vs KC · Sun 4:25 PM ET
7.3 a game this season · last 3: 3.8, 4.4, 6.8
- Jaylen Waddle's game has already kicked off, so most platforms have locked him in or out for this week.
What the call rests on
- Luther Burden III: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 6:30 PM ET
- Jaylen Waddle: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 6:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Sun, Nov 1, 6:36 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Sun, Nov 1, 6:36 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | III | Waddle |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 12.4 | 11.6 |
| Half PPR | 10.1 | 9.3 |
| Standard | 7.7 | 7.1 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.8 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Jaylen Waddle plays first (Sun 4:25 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Luther Burden III's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.