Two players, one answer.
Jaylen Warren vs Justin Herbert
This week
Toss-up · 14.8 to 13.5 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Jaylen Warren by 71% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
About even (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 56% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Jaylen Warren is projected 1.3 points ahead of Justin Herbert. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 56% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · PIT
Jaylen Warren
14.8 projected
vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET
17.1 a game this season · last 3: 36.8, 9.8, 16.7
QB · LAC
Justin Herbert
13.5 projected
@ LAR · Sun 4:05 PM ET
11.7 a game this season · last 3: 11.6, 11.2, 9.8
What the call rests on
- Jaylen Warren: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 1:40 AM ET
- Justin Herbert: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 1:40 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 1:46 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 1:46 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Warren | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 14.8 | 13.5 |
| Half PPR | 13.4 | 13.5 |
| Standard | 12 | 13.5 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Justin Herbert 13.5, Jaylen Warren 13.4.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Justin Herbert 13.5, Jaylen Warren 12.
- Jaylen Warren plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Justin Herbert's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.