Two players, one answer.
Jaylen Warren vs Michael Penix Jr.
Any format · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
Toss-up · 15.1 to 14.9 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Jaylen Warren by 75% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
About even (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Michael Penix Jr. is projected 0.2 points ahead of Jaylen Warren. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
QB · ATL
Michael Penix Jr.
15.1 projected
@ TB · Sun 1:00 PM ET
17.1 a game this season · last 3: 14.4, 23.1, 20.4
RB · PIT
Jaylen Warren
14.9 projected
vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET
17.1 a game this season · last 3: 36.8, 9.8, 16.7
What the call rests on
- Michael Penix Jr.: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 1:50 PM ET
- Jaylen Warren: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 1:50 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 2:03 PM ET.
- Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Jr. | Warren |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 15.1 | 14.9 |
| Half PPR | 15.1 | 13.5 |
| Standard | 15.1 | 12.1 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.2 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.