Two players, one answer.
Joe Burrow vs Josh Allen
This week
Start Josh Allen · 24.5 to 21.4 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Josh Allen by 50% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Josh Allen by 35% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 63% held up in 2025
Lean Josh Allen
On Sleeper's projections, Josh Allen is projected 3.1 points ahead of Joe Burrow. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 63% of the time. A lean, not a lock.
QB · BUF
Josh Allen
24.5 projected
vs BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
27.5 a game this season · last 3: 19.5, 31.5, 18.3
QB · CIN
Joe Burrow
21.4 projected
vs TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ET
22.2 a game this season · last 3: 25.7, 24.6, 28.9
What the call rests on
- Josh Allen: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 1:10 PM ET
- Joe Burrow: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 1:10 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 1:11 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 1:11 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
What could change it before kickoff
Nothing pending on either: both are expected to play, and the gap is wide enough that a typical projection update doesn't close it.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.