Two players, one answer.

Joe Burrow vs Trey McBride

Any format · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 59% held up in 2025

Lean Joe Burrow

On Sleeper's projections, Joe Burrow is projected 2.1 points ahead of Trey McBride. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 59% of the time. A lean, not a lock.

QB · CIN

Joe Burrow

21.4 projected

vs TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ET

22.2 a game this season · last 3: 25.7, 24.6, 28.9

TE · ARI

Trey McBride

19.3 projected

@ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

18.6 a game this season · last 3: 21.6, 12.3, 27.1

What the call rests on

  • Joe Burrow: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 4:10 PM ET
  • Trey McBride: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 4:10 PM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 4:24 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.
Same projections, scoredBurrowMcBride
PPR21.419.3
Half PPR21.415.3
Standard21.411.4

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 2.1 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.