Two players, one answer.
Jonnu Smith vs Reggie Virgil
Any league · this week start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Reggie Virgil by 9% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Reggie Virgil by 74% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 55% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Reggie Virgil is projected 1.1 points ahead of Jonnu Smith. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 55% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · ARI
Reggie Virgil
3.1 projected
@ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
4.9 a game this season · last 1: 4.9
TE · GB
Jonnu Smith
2.0 projected
vs CAR · Thu 8:15 PM ET
3.9 a game this season · last 3: 3.6, 2.9, 1.9
What the call rests on
- Reggie Virgil: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET
- Jonnu Smith: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 1:34 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 1:34 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Virgil | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 3.1 | 2 |
| Half PPR | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| Standard | 1.9 | 1.1 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.1 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Jonnu Smith plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Reggie Virgil's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.