Two players, one answer.

Jonnu Smith vs Theo Wease Jr.

Any league · this week start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 58% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Jonnu Smith is projected 1.7 points ahead of Theo Wease Jr.. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 58% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

TE · GB

Jonnu Smith

2.0 projected

vs CAR · Thu 8:15 PM ET

3.9 a game this season · last 3: 3.6, 2.9, 1.9

WR · LAC

Theo Wease Jr.

0.3 projected

@ LAR · Sun 4:05 PM ET

3.4 a game this season · last 2: 2.6, 4.1

What the call rests on

  • Jonnu Smith: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 5:50 AM ET
  • Theo Wease Jr.: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 5:50 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 5:50 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 5:50 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredSmithJr.
PPR20.3
Half PPR1.60.2
Standard1.10.2

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 1.7 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Jonnu Smith plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Theo Wease Jr.'s late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.