Two players, one answer.

Josh Downs vs Justin Herbert

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

Josh Downs · Justin Herbert

Week 8 · PPR · 64% held up in 2025

Lean Justin Herbert

On Sleeper's projections, Justin Herbert is projected 3.4 points ahead of Josh Downs. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 64% of the time. A lean, not a lock.

QB · LAC

Justin Herbert

13.5 projected

@ LAR · Sun 4:05 PM ET

11.7 a game this season · last 3: 11.6, 11.2, 9.8

WR · IND

Josh Downs

10.1 projected

@ JAX · Sun 1:00 PM ET

8.2 a game this season · last 3: 7.7, 8.7, 3.8

What the call rests on

  • Justin Herbert: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 6:00 PM ET
  • Josh Downs: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 6:00 PM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 6:02 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 6:02 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredHerbertDowns
PPR13.510.1
Half PPR13.58.1
Standard13.56.1

What could change it before kickoff

  • Josh Downs plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Justin Herbert's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.