Two players, one answer.
Julius Chestnut vs Kaden Davis
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Kaden Davis by 57% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Kaden Davis by 27% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Julius Chestnut is projected 0.3 points ahead of Kaden Davis. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · TEN
Julius Chestnut
0.3 projected
@ CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ET
0 a game this season · last 3: 0, 0, 0
WR · CHI
Kaden Davis
0.0 projected
@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET
0 a game this season · last 1: 0
What the call rests on
- Julius Chestnut: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 7:03 PM ET
- Kaden Davis: Sleeper's projection
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 7:08 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 7:08 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Julius Chestnut plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Kaden Davis's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.