Two players, one answer.

Justice Hill vs Ted Hurst III

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 55% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Justice Hill is projected 1 point ahead of Ted Hurst III. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 55% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

RB · BAL

Justice Hill

6.1 projected

@ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET

5.1 a game this season · last 3: 9.8, 3.9, 6.3

WR · TB

Ted Hurst III

5.1 projected

vs ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

5.6 a game this season · last 3: 4.5, 7, 0

What the call rests on

  • Justice Hill: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 11:30 AM ET
  • Ted Hurst III: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 11:30 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 11:31 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 11:31 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredHillIII
PPR6.15.1
Half PPR5.14.3
Standard4.23.5

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 1 point or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.