Two players, one answer.
Justin Herbert vs Malik Willis
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · Standard
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
Toss-up · 13.8 to 13.6 projected (Week 8, Standard)
Rest of season
Justin Herbert by 30% (Redraft standard)Dynasty
Justin Herbert by 17% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · Standard · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Justin Herbert is projected 0.2 points ahead of Malik Willis. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
QB · LAC
Justin Herbert
13.8 projected
@ LAR · Sun 4:05 PM ET
11.7 a game this season · last 3: 11.6, 11.2, 9.8
QB · MIA
Malik Willis
13.6 projected
vs NE · Sun 4:25 PM ET
15.1 a game this season · last 3: 2.5, 20.9, 26
- Their games have already kicked off, so most platforms have locked them in or out for this week.
What the call rests on
- Justin Herbert: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 5:30 PM ET
- Malik Willis: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 5:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Sun, Nov 1, 5:35 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Sun, Nov 1, 5:35 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.2 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.