Two players, one answer.

Justin Jefferson vs Trey McBride

Any format · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 54% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Trey McBride is projected 0.9 points ahead of Justin Jefferson. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 54% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

TE · ARI

Trey McBride

19.3 projected

@ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

18.6 a game this season · last 3: 21.6, 12.3, 27.1

WR · MIN

Justin Jefferson

18.4 projected

@ DET · Sun 1:00 PM ET

14.4 a game this season · last 3: 5.2, 18.8, 8.4

What the call rests on

  • Trey McBride: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 4:10 PM ET
  • Justin Jefferson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 4:10 PM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 4:25 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.
Same projections, scoredMcBrideJefferson
PPR19.318.4
Half PPR15.315.1
Standard11.411.8

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.9 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Justin Jefferson 11.8, Trey McBride 11.4.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.