Two players, one answer.
Justin Jefferson vs Zay Flowers
Any format · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
Toss-up · 18.3 to 18.1 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Zay Flowers by 16% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Zay Flowers by 24% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Justin Jefferson is projected 0.2 points ahead of Zay Flowers. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · MIN
Justin Jefferson
18.3 projected
@ DET · Sun 1:00 PM ET
14.4 a game this season · last 3: 5.2, 18.8, 8.4
WR · BAL
Zay Flowers
18.1 projected
@ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET
20.4 a game this season · last 3: 14.6, 12.7, 27.7
What the call rests on
- Justin Jefferson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 2:40 PM ET
- Zay Flowers: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 2:40 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 2:52 PM ET.
- Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Jefferson | Flowers |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 18.3 | 18.1 |
| Half PPR | 15 | 15.3 |
| Standard | 11.8 | 12.5 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.2 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Zay Flowers 15.3, Justin Jefferson 15.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Zay Flowers 12.5, Justin Jefferson 11.8.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.