Two players, one answer.

KC Concepcion Jr. vs Rico Dowdle

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

KC Concepcion Jr. · Rico Dowdle

Week 8 · PPR · 57% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, KC Concepcion Jr. is projected 1.5 points ahead of Rico Dowdle. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 57% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

WR · CLE

KC Concepcion Jr.

10.3 projected

@ PIT · Sun 1:00 PM ET

9 a game this season · last 3: 1.5, 7.9, 23.2

RB · PIT

Rico Dowdle

8.8 projected

vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET

8.3 a game this season · last 3: 6.4, 7.9, 14.6

What the call rests on

  • KC Concepcion Jr.: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 4:20 AM ET
  • Rico Dowdle: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 4:20 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Sat, Oct 31, 4:27 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sat, Oct 31, 4:27 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredJr.Dowdle
PPR10.38.8
Half PPR8.38
Standard6.37.1

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 1.5 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Rico Dowdle 7.1, KC Concepcion Jr. 6.3.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.