Two players, one answer.

Keaton Mitchell vs Zavion Thomas

Any league · this week start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 63% held up in 2025

Lean Keaton Mitchell

On Sleeper's projections, Keaton Mitchell is projected 2.9 points ahead of Zavion Thomas. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 63% of the time. A lean, not a lock.

RB · LAC

Keaton Mitchell

5.8 projected

@ LAR · Sun 4:05 PM ET

6.2 a game this season · last 3: 11.3, 5.9, 0.4

WR · CHI

Zavion Thomas

2.9 projected

@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET

1.6 a game this season · last 3: 3.2, 5.5, 0

What the call rests on

  • Keaton Mitchell: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 12:20 AM ET
  • Zavion Thomas: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 12:20 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 12:22 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 12:22 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredMitchellThomas
PPR5.82.9
Half PPR5.22.3
Standard4.61.8

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 2.9 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Keaton Mitchell plays first (Sun 4:05 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Zavion Thomas's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.