Two players, one answer.

Khalil Herbert vs Tanner Arkin

Any format · this week start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Khalil Herbert is projected 0.5 points ahead of Tanner Arkin. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

RB · ATL

Khalil Herbert

0.5 projected

@ TB · Sun 1:00 PM ET

3.8 a game this season · last 1: 3.8

TE · NE

Tanner Arkin

0.0 projected

@ MIA · Sun 4:25 PM ET

No games this season

What the call rests on

  • Khalil Herbert: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 4:10 PM ET
  • Tanner Arkin: Sleeper's projection
  • Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 4:24 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.5 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Khalil Herbert plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Tanner Arkin's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.