Two players, one answer.

Kyler Murray vs Patrick Mahomes

Dynasty Superflex · 12 teams

Stats through week 6 of 2026

Week 7 · PPR · 50% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Patrick Mahomes is projected 0.1 points ahead of Kyler Murray. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 50% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: start the one you trust more, or the one with news on his side.

QB · KC

Patrick Mahomes

16.5 projected

@ SEA · Sun 8:20 PM ET

17.3 a game this season · last 3: 17, 11.5, 7

QB · MIN

Kyler Murray

16.4 projected

vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET

11.1 a game this season · last 3: 11.5, 18.3, 13.9

Their games have already kicked off, so most platforms have locked them in or out for this week.
Patrick Mahomes has scored 11.8 a game over his last three, below his 17.3 season average.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season.