Two players, one answer.

Lan Larison vs Nate Carter

Any format · this week start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 50% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Lan Larison and Nate Carter are projected level. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

RB · NE

Lan Larison

0.0 projected

@ MIA · Sun 4:25 PM ET

2.9 a game this season · last 1: 2.9

RB · KC

Nate Carter

0.0 projected

@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ET

No games this season

What the call rests on

  • Lan Larison: Sleeper's projection
  • Nate Carter: Sleeper's projection
  • Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 2:52 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.