Two players, one answer.

Luther Burden III vs Michael Wilson

Dynasty Superflex · 12 teams

Stats through week 6 of 2026

Week 7 · PPR · 50% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Michael Wilson is projected 0.1 points ahead of Luther Burden III. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 50% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: start the one you trust more, or the one with news on his side.

WR · ARI

Michael Wilson

12.6 projected

vs DEN · Sun 4:05 PM ET

11.7 a game this season · last 3: 7.3, 7.2, 10.6

WR · CHI

Luther Burden III

12.5 projected

vs NE · Thu 8:15 PM ET

13.9 a game this season · last 3: 8.9, 17.5, 23.7

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season.