Two players, one answer.

Luther Burden III vs Rashee Rice

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · Half PPR

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

Luther Burden III · Rashee Rice

Week 8 · Half PPR · 54% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Rashee Rice is projected 0.8 points ahead of Luther Burden III. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 54% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

WR · KC

Rashee Rice

10.9 projected

@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ET

10.5 a game this season · last 3: 8.9, 10.3, 12.3

WR · CHI

Luther Burden III

10.1 projected

@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET

11.4 a game this season · last 3: 6.9, 13.5, 21.7

What the call rests on

  • Rashee Rice: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 5:30 PM ET
  • Luther Burden III: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 5:30 PM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Sun, Nov 1, 5:35 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sun, Nov 1, 5:35 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredRiceIII
PPR13.212.4
Half PPR10.910.1
Standard8.67.7

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.8 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Rashee Rice plays first (Sun 4:25 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Luther Burden III's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.