Two players, one answer.
Luther Burden III vs Tony Pollard
This week
Toss-up · 12.3 to 12.1 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
About even (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Luther Burden III by 62% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Luther Burden III is projected 0.2 points ahead of Tony Pollard. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · CHI
Luther Burden III
12.3 projected
@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET
13.9 a game this season · last 3: 8.9, 17.5, 23.7
RB · TEN
Tony Pollard
12.1 projected
@ CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ET
12.5 a game this season · last 3: 5.2, 7.6, 36.5
What the call rests on
- Luther Burden III: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 1:30 AM ET
- Tony Pollard: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 1:30 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 1:34 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 1:34 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | III | Pollard |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 12.3 | 12.1 |
| Half PPR | 10 | 11.2 |
| Standard | 7.6 | 10.4 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.2 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Tony Pollard 11.2, Luther Burden III 10.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Tony Pollard 10.4, Luther Burden III 7.6.
- Tony Pollard plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Luther Burden III's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.