Two players, one answer.

Luther Burden III vs Tyler Warren

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

Luther Burden III · Tyler Warren

Week 8 · PPR · 58% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Luther Burden III is projected 1.7 points ahead of Tyler Warren. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 58% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

WR · CHI

Luther Burden III

12.5 projected

@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET

13.9 a game this season · last 3: 8.9, 17.5, 23.7

TE · IND

Tyler Warren

10.8 projected

@ JAX · Sun 1:00 PM ET

14 a game this season · last 3: 14.7, 9.1, 21.4

What the call rests on

  • Luther Burden III: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 1:20 PM ET
  • Tyler Warren: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 1:20 PM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Sat, Oct 31, 1:28 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sat, Oct 31, 1:28 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredIIIWarren
PPR12.510.8
Half PPR10.28.3
Standard7.85.8

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 1.7 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Tyler Warren plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Luther Burden III's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.