Two players, one answer.
Malik Nabers vs Rashee Rice
This week
Toss-up · 13.2 to 13.1 projected (Week 9, Half PPR)
Rest of season
Malik Nabers by 34% (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
Malik Nabers by 41% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · Half PPR · 50% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Rashee Rice is projected 0.1 points ahead of Malik Nabers. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 50% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · KC
Rashee Rice
13.2 projected
vs NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ET
11.6 a game this season · last 3: 10.3, 12.3, 14.8
WR · NYG
Malik Nabers
13.1 projected
@ PHI · Sun 1:00 PM ET
13.8 a game this season · last 3: 23.6, 22.5, 14.6
- Malik Nabers has scored 20.2 a game over his last three, above his 13.8 season average.
What the call rests on
- Rashee Rice: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 4:40 AM ET
- Malik Nabers: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 4:40 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Nov 4, 4:44 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Nov 4, 4:44 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Rice | Nabers |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 15.8 | 15.8 |
| Half PPR | 13.2 | 13.1 |
| Standard | 10.6 | 10.4 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.1 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In ppr scoring the call goes the other way: Malik Nabers 15.8, Rashee Rice 15.8.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.