Two players, one answer.

Malik Willis vs Sam Darnold

Dynasty Superflex · 12 teams

Stats through week 6 of 2026

Week 7 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Sam Darnold is projected 0.4 points ahead of Malik Willis. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: start the one you trust more, or the one with news on his side.

QB · SEA

Sam Darnold

15.2 projected

vs KC · Sun 8:20 PM ET

13.8 a game this season · last 3: 10.3, 13, 15

QB · MIA

Malik Willis

14.8 projected

@ NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ET

15.1 a game this season · last 3: 2.5, 20.9, 26

Their games have already kicked off, so most platforms have locked them in or out for this week.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season.