Two players, one answer.

Marcus Mariota vs Max Bredeson

Any league · this week start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 50% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Max Bredeson is projected 0.1 points ahead of Marcus Mariota. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 50% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

RB · MIN

Max Bredeson

0.1 projected

@ DET · Sun 1:00 PM ET

0 a game this season · last 2: 0, 0

QB · WAS

Marcus Mariota

0.0 projected

vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ETQuestionable

11.5 a game this season · last 3: 8.7, 20.4, 5.3

What the call rests on

  • Max Bredeson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 4:40 AM ET
  • Marcus Mariota: Sleeper's projection
  • Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 4:45 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 4:45 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.

What could change it before kickoff

  • Marcus Mariota's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, Max Bredeson is the start.
  • A projection update of 0.1 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Max Bredeson plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Marcus Mariota's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.