Two players, one answer.

MarShawn Lloyd vs Reggie Virgil

Any league · this week start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

MarShawn Lloyd · Reggie Virgil

Week 8 · PPR · 63% held up in 2025

Lean MarShawn Lloyd

On Sleeper's projections, MarShawn Lloyd is projected 2.9 points ahead of Reggie Virgil. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 63% of the time. A lean, not a lock.

RB · GB

MarShawn Lloyd

2.6 final · 6.6 projected

vs CAR · Thu 8:15 PM ET

6.5 a game this season · last 3: 1, 5.5, 2.6

WR · ARI

Reggie Virgil

3.7 projected

@ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

4.9 a game this season · last 1: 4.9

What the call rests on

  • MarShawn Lloyd: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 5:20 AM ET
  • Reggie Virgil: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 5:20 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Sat, Oct 31, 5:27 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sat, Oct 31, 5:27 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredLloydVirgil
PPR6.63.7
Half PPR6.13
Standard5.52.3

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 2.9 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • MarShawn Lloyd plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Reggie Virgil's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.