Two players, one answer.

Michael Wilson vs Tetairoa McMillan

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

Michael Wilson · Tetairoa McMillan

Week 8 · PPR · 55% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Michael Wilson is projected 1.2 points ahead of Tetairoa McMillan. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 55% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

WR · ARI

Michael Wilson

16.0 projected

@ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM ETQuestionable

11.7 a game this season · last 3: 7.3, 7.2, 10.6

WR · CAR

Tetairoa McMillan

11.8 final · 14.8 projected

@ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET

15.6 a game this season · last 3: 14.6, 8, 11.8

What the call rests on

  • Michael Wilson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 2:20 PM ET
  • Tetairoa McMillan: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 2:20 PM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 2:30 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 2:30 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredWilsonMcMillan
PPR1614.8
Half PPR13.312.2
Standard10.69.7

What could change it before kickoff

  • Michael Wilson's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, Tetairoa McMillan is the start.
  • A projection update of 1.2 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Tetairoa McMillan plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Michael Wilson's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.