Two players, one answer.
Mike Evans vs Tee Higgins
This week
Toss-up · 16.6 to 16.5 projected (Week 9, PPR)
Rest of season
Tee Higgins by 50% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Tee Higgins by 72% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · PPR · 50% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Tee Higgins is projected 0.1 points ahead of Mike Evans. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 50% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · CIN
Tee Higgins
16.6 projected
@ ATL · Sun 9:30 AM ET
19.9 a game this season · last 3: 4.2, 26.8, 37.5
WR · SF
Mike Evans
16.5 projected
vs LV · Sun 4:05 PM ETQuestionable
14.8 a game this season · last 3: 12.6, 26.3, 12.4
- Mike Evans is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
What the call rests on
- Tee Higgins: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 3:30 AM ET
- Mike Evans: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 3:30 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Nov 4, 3:44 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Nov 4, 3:44 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Higgins | Evans |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 16.6 | 16.5 |
| Half PPR | 14.1 | 14.3 |
| Standard | 11.5 | 12 |
What could change it before kickoff
- Mike Evans's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, Tee Higgins is the start.
- A projection update of 0.1 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Mike Evans 14.3, Tee Higgins 14.1.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Mike Evans 12, Tee Higgins 11.5.
- Tee Higgins plays first (Sun 9:30 AM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Mike Evans's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.