Two players, one answer.
Mike Gesicki vs T.J. Hockenson
This week
Toss-up · 10.8 to 10.2 projected (Week 9, PPR)
Rest of season
T.J. Hockenson by 43% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
T.J. Hockenson by 54% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · PPR · 53% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, T.J. Hockenson is projected 0.6 points ahead of Mike Gesicki. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 53% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · MIN
T.J. Hockenson
10.8 projected
vs BUF · Mon 8:15 PM ET
11.2 a game this season · last 3: 1.7, 13.5, 15.8
TE · CIN
Mike Gesicki
10.2 projected
@ ATL · Sun 9:30 AM ET
12.9 a game this season · last 3: 7.4, 7.6, 17.6
What the call rests on
- T.J. Hockenson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 11:30 PM ET
- Mike Gesicki: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 11:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Nov 3, 11:42 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Tue, Nov 3, 11:42 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Hockenson | Gesicki |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 10.8 | 10.2 |
| Half PPR | 8.5 | 8.6 |
| Standard | 6.2 | 6.9 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.6 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Mike Gesicki 8.6, T.J. Hockenson 8.5.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Mike Gesicki 6.9, T.J. Hockenson 6.2.
- Mike Gesicki plays first (Sun 9:30 AM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before T.J. Hockenson's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.