Two players, one answer.
Mike Gesicki vs T.J. Hockenson
This week
Toss-up · 8.6 to 8.5 projected (Week 9, Half PPR)
Rest of season
T.J. Hockenson by 28% (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
T.J. Hockenson by 54% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · Half PPR · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Mike Gesicki is projected 0.1 points ahead of T.J. Hockenson. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · CIN
Mike Gesicki
8.6 projected
@ ATL · Sun 9:30 AM ET
11.4 a game this season · last 3: 6.9, 7.1, 15.6
TE · MIN
T.J. Hockenson
8.5 projected
vs BUF · Mon 8:15 PM ET
9 a game this season · last 3: 1.2, 11.5, 13.8
What the call rests on
- Mike Gesicki: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 11:30 PM ET
- T.J. Hockenson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 11:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Nov 3, 11:42 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Tue, Nov 3, 11:42 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Gesicki | Hockenson |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 10.2 | 10.8 |
| Half PPR | 8.6 | 8.5 |
| Standard | 6.9 | 6.2 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.1 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In ppr scoring the call goes the other way: T.J. Hockenson 10.8, Mike Gesicki 10.2.
- Mike Gesicki plays first (Sun 9:30 AM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before T.J. Hockenson's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.