Two players, one answer.

Ollie Gordon II vs Saquon Barkley

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · Half PPR

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

Ollie Gordon II · Saquon Barkley

Week 8 · Half PPR · 52% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Ollie Gordon II is projected 0.5 points ahead of Saquon Barkley. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

RB · MIA

Ollie Gordon II

12.4 projected

vs NE · Sun 4:25 PM ET

12.5 a game this season · last 3: 17, 14.8, 16.8

RB · PHI

Saquon Barkley

11.9 projected

@ WAS · Sun 8:20 PM ET

7 a game this season · last 3: 8.5, 1.5, 14.1

What the call rests on

  • Ollie Gordon II: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 7:10 AM ET
  • Saquon Barkley: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 7:10 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Sun, Nov 1, 7:31 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sun, Nov 1, 7:31 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredIIBarkley
PPR13.312.8
Half PPR12.411.9
Standard11.511.1

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.5 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Ollie Gordon II plays first (Sun 4:25 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Saquon Barkley's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.