Two players, one answer.
Ollie Gordon II vs Tony Pollard
This week
Toss-up · 12.9 to 12.1 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Tony Pollard by 4% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Ollie Gordon II by 54% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 54% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Ollie Gordon II is projected 0.8 points ahead of Tony Pollard. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 54% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · MIA
Ollie Gordon II
12.9 projected
vs NE · Sun 4:25 PM ET
13.1 a game this season · last 3: 18, 14.8, 17.3
RB · TEN
Tony Pollard
12.1 projected
@ CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ET
12.5 a game this season · last 3: 5.2, 7.6, 36.5
What the call rests on
- Ollie Gordon II: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 11:00 AM ET
- Tony Pollard: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 11:00 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 11:05 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 11:05 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | II | Pollard |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 12.9 | 12.1 |
| Half PPR | 12.1 | 11.2 |
| Standard | 11.3 | 10.4 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.8 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Tony Pollard plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Ollie Gordon II's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.