Two players, one answer.
Pat Freiermuth vs Xavier Worthy
This week
Toss-up · 9.4 to 9 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
About even (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Xavier Worthy by 50% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Pat Freiermuth is projected 0.4 points ahead of Xavier Worthy. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · PIT
Pat Freiermuth
9.4 projected
vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET
9.6 a game this season · last 3: 21.5, 3.1, 4
WR · KC
Xavier Worthy
9.0 projected
@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ET
8.6 a game this season · last 3: 11, 14.3, 4.1
What the call rests on
- Pat Freiermuth: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 7:50 AM ET
- Xavier Worthy: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 7:50 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 7:54 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 7:54 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Freiermuth | Worthy |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 9.4 | 9 |
| Half PPR | 7.6 | 7.3 |
| Standard | 5.9 | 5.6 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.4 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Pat Freiermuth plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Xavier Worthy's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.