Two players, one answer.
Rashee Rice vs Zay Flowers
This week
Toss-up · 15.6 to 14 projected (Week 9, PPR)
Rest of season
Rashee Rice by 6% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
About even (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · PPR · 57% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Rashee Rice is projected 1.6 points ahead of Zay Flowers. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 57% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · KC
Rashee Rice
15.6 projected
vs NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ET
14.1 a game this season · last 3: 12.3, 15.8, 18.3
WR · BAL
Zay Flowers
14.0 projected
vs JAX · Thu 8:15 PM ET
17.5 a game this season · last 3: 12.7, 27.7, 0
What the call rests on
- Rashee Rice: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 7:40 PM ET
- Zay Flowers: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 7:40 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Nov 3, 7:41 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Tue, Nov 3, 7:41 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Rice | Flowers |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 15.6 | 14 |
| Half PPR | 13.1 | 11.3 |
| Standard | 10.5 | 8.6 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.6 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Zay Flowers plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Rashee Rice's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.