Two players, one answer.
Rico Dowdle vs T.J. Hockenson
This week
Start T.J. Hockenson · 11.2 to 8.8 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
About even (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Rico Dowdle by 14% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 61% held up in 2025
Lean T.J. Hockenson
On Sleeper's projections, T.J. Hockenson is projected 2.4 points ahead of Rico Dowdle. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 61% of the time. A lean, not a lock.
TE · MIN
T.J. Hockenson
11.2 projected
@ DET · Sun 1:00 PM ET
10.5 a game this season · last 3: 24.9, 1.7, 13.5
RB · PIT
Rico Dowdle
8.8 projected
vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET
8.3 a game this season · last 3: 6.4, 7.9, 14.6
What the call rests on
- T.J. Hockenson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 2:30 AM ET
- Rico Dowdle: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 2:30 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 2:36 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 2:36 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Hockenson | Dowdle |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 11.2 | 8.8 |
| Half PPR | 8.7 | 7.9 |
| Standard | 6.3 | 7 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 2.4 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Rico Dowdle 7, T.J. Hockenson 6.3.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.