Two players, one answer.

Rico Dowdle vs Tyler Allgeier

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

Rico Dowdle · Tyler Allgeier

Week 8 · PPR · 51% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Rico Dowdle is projected 0.3 points ahead of Tyler Allgeier. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

RB · PIT

Rico Dowdle

8.6 projected

vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET

8.3 a game this season · last 3: 6.4, 7.9, 14.6

RB · ARI

Tyler Allgeier

8.3 projected

@ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

6.9 a game this season · last 3: 3.6, 5.8, 7.9

What the call rests on

  • Rico Dowdle: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 11:30 AM ET
  • Tyler Allgeier: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sun, Nov 1, 11:30 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Sun, Nov 1, 11:33 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sun, Nov 1, 11:33 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredDowdleAllgeier
PPR8.68.3
Half PPR7.87.1
Standard75.9

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.