Two players, one answer.
Sam LaPorta vs Trey McBride
This week
Toss-up · 8.3 to 8 projected (Week 9, Standard)
Rest of season
Trey McBride by 43% (Redraft standard)Dynasty
Trey McBride by 56% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · Standard · 52% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Sam LaPorta is projected 0.3 points ahead of Trey McBride. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · DET
Sam LaPorta
8.3 projected
@ MIA · Sun 1:00 PM ET
7.8 a game this season · last 3: 14.8, 1.8, 3.5
TE · ARI
Trey McBride
8.0 projected
@ SEA · Sun 4:25 PM ET
10.6 a game this season · last 3: 5.3, 17.1, 13.2
What the call rests on
- Sam LaPorta: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 8:30 PM ET
- Trey McBride: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 8:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Nov 3, 8:41 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Tue, Nov 3, 8:41 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | LaPorta | McBride |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 13.4 | 15.2 |
| Half PPR | 10.9 | 11.6 |
| Standard | 8.3 | 8 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In ppr scoring the call goes the other way: Trey McBride 15.2, Sam LaPorta 13.4.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Trey McBride 11.6, Sam LaPorta 10.9.
- Sam LaPorta plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Trey McBride's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.