Two players, one answer.
Stefon Diggs vs Tony Pollard
This week
Toss-up · 12 to 11.9 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Stefon Diggs by 29% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Stefon Diggs by 16% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 50% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Tony Pollard is projected 0.1 points ahead of Stefon Diggs. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 50% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · TEN
Tony Pollard
12.0 projected
@ CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ET
12.5 a game this season · last 3: 5.2, 7.6, 36.5
WR · WAS
Stefon Diggs
11.9 projected
vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ET
13.9 a game this season · last 3: 7.3, 8.5, 16.4
What the call rests on
- Tony Pollard: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 7:50 AM ET
- Stefon Diggs: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 7:50 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 7:54 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 7:54 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Pollard | Diggs |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 12 | 11.9 |
| Half PPR | 11.2 | 9.9 |
| Standard | 10.4 | 8 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.1 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Tony Pollard plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Stefon Diggs's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.