Two players, one answer.

T.J. Hockenson vs Travis Kelce

Any format · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Travis Kelce is projected 0.5 points ahead of T.J. Hockenson. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

TE · KC

Travis Kelce

11.6 projected

@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ET

11.7 a game this season · last 3: 3.5, 9.3, 8.4

TE · MIN

T.J. Hockenson

11.1 projected

@ DET · Sun 1:00 PM ET

10.5 a game this season · last 3: 24.9, 1.7, 13.5

What the call rests on

  • Travis Kelce: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 12:50 PM ET
  • T.J. Hockenson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 12:50 PM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 1:05 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.
Same projections, scoredKelceHockenson
PPR11.611.1
Half PPR9.48.7
Standard7.36.3

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.5 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • T.J. Hockenson plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Travis Kelce's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.