Scouting report · QB · Tampa Bay

Baker Mayfield

A top-24 quarterback in Superflex dynasty leagues, and still climbing the age curve.

#81 overall · age 31 · 2018 round 1, pick 1 · 9th season

TBQuarterback · QB19

Standard points a game

22.52024
16.62025
10.92026 · 4 G

Current outlook

This week · week 8 · Standard

15.4QB20

vs ATL · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET

No injury designation · injury data read Fri, Oct 30, 6:02 p.m. ET

Sleeper's projection, read Fri, Oct 30, 6:02 p.m. ET, scored by Swindlr

Rest of season · redraft standard

#161 · QB19

Value 1,099 · 12 teams

Dynasty · Dynasty SF

#81 · QB19

Value 2,987 · 12 teams

Latest14 real trades for him in public Sleeper leagues, the sample's last two weeks

Dynasty value · Dynasty SF

2,987

▼ 164 · last 3 weeks of games

Rank

#81 · QB19

Overall · position

2026 Standard / game

10.9

QB32 at the position

Age

31

9 seasons in

In a year

+3%

3,091 · about #74 next year

Value through each week · 2026 · Dynasty SF

Recalculated: today's model on the games through each week, valued at today's point in the season. It shows what each week's games did to his value, not the values Swindlr showed at the time.

Swindlr records its published values weekly from Oct 28, 2026; they'll appear here as a record beside this chart.

Every format

12-team leagues. Tap a format to see him in it.

Where his value comes from · Dynasty SF

This season 9%Next two seasons 29%Later 62%

80% of it is upside, the model's allowance for him outplaying his projection of 15.9 a game; the projection alone is worth the other 20%. That allowance comes from how widely players at his position score around their projections, set wider in a player's first three seasons and for seasons further off, and it's the least certain part of the number: a valuation that counts less of it would price him lower.

Splits

Regular season · week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

SeasonGCmpAttPass ydsPass TDIntRush ydsRush TDStandard / G
2024174075704,5004116378322.5
2025173435433,6932611382116.6
20264681076793266110.9

2026 week by week · Standard points

Wk 111.6Wk 213.2Wk 312.3Wk 76.7

What he's worth in a trade

Dynasty SF

Real trades · 132 in the last year · 110 in dynasty Superflex leagues

The last 90 days of the sample, dynasty leagues: 65 trades, 54 Superflex or 2QB and 11 one-QB, 52 with a TE premium. Every trade with him, by format →

Real trades back this value

In 11 Dynasty SF trades since September where he went alone, what changed hands came to about 0.96× his value here (the middle half of them 0.58× to 1.46×).

What managers actually gave for Baker in completed trades in public Sleeper leagues, leagues like Dynasty SF first. Each shows the date and the league's settings; the price is what was agreed then, and the line under it is today's value, a different thing. Two-team trades of up to four pieces a side; none is left out for disagreeing with Swindlr. No league or manager names. 4 of them look lopsided at today's values (values move after a trade, with injuries and role changes, so a fair price then can look lopsided now); none is left out.

Equal value today · Swindlr's estimate

Not real trades: packages that land within a few percent of Baker's value in Dynasty SF now. Open one in the calculator to see who wins it.

Jaylen WarrenRB · 14.2 proj ppg · compare · check it2,953
Justin HerbertQB · 15.4 proj ppg · compare · check it2,937
Michael Penix Jr.QB · 14.8 proj ppg · compare · check it2,934

Head to head

In your league

Make the move for Baker.

Values are Swindlr's estimates for 12-team leagues, updated with every week's stats (through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)). "In a year" is the same production a year older, on the age curve the model is tuned with; news, role changes and the next rookie class aren’t in it. Stats: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0).

Stats from Sleeper’s weekly stat lines, regular season, through week 8 of 2026 (in progress) (nflverse’s box scores fill a week Sleeper lacks); teams and injuries from Sleeper, Oct 30. Where the numbers come from.