Recalculated: today's model on the games through each week, valued at today's point in the season. It shows what each week's games did to his value, not the values Swindlr showed at the time.
Swindlr records its published values weekly from Oct 28, 2026; they'll appear here as a record beside this chart.
His projection (8.6 a game) doesn't clear a replacement-level tight end yet, so his value is all upside: the model's allowance for him becoming more than that, which it makes wider the further ahead it looks. It's the least certain part of any value.
Jameson Williams climbs 7 places among receivers when catches don't count, one of 10 players who cross the illustrative 12-team starter line depending on scoring. The head-to-head that flips: Ashton Jeanty or Derrick Henry.
What he's worth in a trade
Dynasty 1QB
Real trades · 113 in the last year · 14 in dynasty one-QB leagues
The last 90 days of the sample, dynasty leagues: 38 trades, 33 Superflex or 2QB and 5 one-QB, 30 with a TE premium. Every trade with him, by format →
What managers actually gave for Jake in completed trades in public Sleeper leagues, leagues like Dynasty 1QB first. Each shows the date and the league's settings; the price is what was agreed then, and the line under it is today's value, a different thing. Two-team trades of up to four pieces a side; none is left out for disagreeing with Swindlr. No league or manager names. 8 of them look lopsided at today's values (values move after a trade, with injuries and role changes, so a fair price then can look lopsided now); none is left out.
Oct 16, 2026 · 12-team dynasty 1QB, half PPRJake Ferguson + 2027 2nd + 2027 3rdforIsaiah LikelyToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 2,453 for his side, 4,479 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Sep 29, 2026 · 16-team dynasty 1QB, TE +0.5Jake Ferguson + Rashee Rice + 2027 3rdforTerrance Ferguson + Tyler Shough + 2027 2ndToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 5,187 for his side, 4,759 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Jul 23, 2026 · 12-team dynasty 1QB, TE +0.5Jake FergusonforZavion Thomas + 2027 2nd + 2027 3rdToday on the Dynasty 1QB board: 1,343 for his side, 2,013 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Equal value today · Swindlr's estimate
Not real trades: packages that land within a few percent of Jake's value in Dynasty 1QB now. Open one in the calculator to see who wins it.
Values are Swindlr's estimates for 12-team leagues, updated with every week's stats (through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)). "In a year" is the same production a year older, on the age curve the model is tuned with; news, role changes and the next rookie class aren’t in it. Stats: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0).
Stats from Sleeper’s weekly stat lines, regular season, through week 8 of 2026 (in progress) (nflverse’s box scores fill a week Sleeper lacks); teams and injuries from Sleeper, Oct 30. Where the numbers come from.