Scouting report · WR · Minnesota
Justin Jefferson
A top-24 receiver in Superflex dynasty leagues, right in the prime of the curve.
#56 overall · age 27 · 2020 round 1, pick 22 · 7th season
MINWide receiver · WR23
Standard points a game
This week · week 8 · Standard
11.4WR7
@ DET · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
No injury designation · injury data read Sat, Oct 31, 7:27 a.m. ET
Sleeper's projection, read Sat, Oct 31, 7:27 a.m. ET, scored by Swindlr
Rest of season · redraft standard
#63 · WR17
Value 2,383 · 12 teams
Dynasty · Dynasty SF
#56 · WR23
Value 3,700 · 12 teams
Latest14 real trades for him in public Sleeper leagues, the sample's last two weeks
Dynasty value · Dynasty SF
3,700
▼ 43 · last 3 weeks of games
Rank
#56 · WR23
Overall · position
2026 Standard / game
9.8
WR20 at the position
Age
27
7 seasons in
In a year
Same
3,668 · about #55 next year
Recalculated: today's model on the games through each week, valued at today's point in the season. It shows what each week's games did to his value, not the values Swindlr showed at the time.
Swindlr records its published values weekly from Oct 28, 2026; they'll appear here as a record beside this chart.
Every format
12-team leagues. Tap a format to see him in it.
Where his value comes from · Dynasty SF
This season 13%Next two seasons 34%Later 53%
52% of it is upside, the model's allowance for him outplaying his projection of 13.4 a game; the projection alone is worth the other 48%. That allowance comes from how widely players at his position score around their projections, set wider in a player's first three seasons and for seasons further off, and it's the least certain part of the number: a valuation that counts less of it would price him lower.
Splits
Regular season · week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
| Season | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Rush yds | Standard / G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 154 | 103 | 1,533 | 10 | 3 | 12.6 |
| 2025 | 17 | 141 | 84 | 1,048 | 2 | 7 | 6.9 |
| 2026 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 302 | 3 | -11 | 9.8 |
2026 week by week · Standard points
What he's worth in a trade
Dynasty SF
Real trades · 202 in the last year · 163 in dynasty Superflex leagues
The last 90 days of the sample, dynasty leagues: 70 trades, 64 Superflex or 2QB and 6 one-QB, 52 with a TE premium. Every trade with him, by format →
Real trades are mixed on him
In 15 Dynasty SF trades since September where he went alone, what changed hands came to about 1.23× his value here (the middle half of them 1.0× to 1.57×): no clear lean either way.
What managers actually gave for Justin in completed trades in public Sleeper leagues, leagues like Dynasty SF first. Each shows the date and the league's settings; the price is what was agreed then, and the line under it is today's value, a different thing. Two-team trades of up to four pieces a side; none is left out for disagreeing with Swindlr. No league or manager names. 3 of them look lopsided at today's values (values move after a trade, with injuries and role changes, so a fair price then can look lopsided now); none is left out.
- Oct 24, 2026 · 12-team dynasty Superflex, TE +0.5Justin Jefferson for 2027 1st + 2027 2nd + 2028 1stToday on the Dynasty SF board: 3,700 for his side, 4,555 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
- Oct 23, 2026 · 12-team dynasty Superflex, TE +1Matthew Stafford + Saquon Barkley + Justin Jefferson for Denzel Boston + 2027 1st + 2028 1stToday on the Dynasty SF board: 7,940 for his side, 7,191 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
- Oct 23, 2026 · 12-team dynasty Superflex, TE +1Justin Jefferson + 2027 1st + 2027 2nd + 2028 1st for Joe Burrow + Ja'Marr ChaseToday on the Dynasty SF board: 8,255 for his side, 12,478 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
- Oct 23, 2026 · 12-team dynasty SuperflexJustin Jefferson for Michael Penix Jr. + Jadarian Price + Kaelon Black + 2027 1stToday on the Dynasty SF board: 3,700 for his side, 8,989 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
- Oct 22, 2026 · 12-team dynasty Superflex, TE +1Patrick Mahomes + Dallas Goedert + Justin Jefferson + Kyle Monangai for Jaxon Smith-Njigba + Max Klare + 2027 1stToday on the Dynasty SF board: 12,360 for his side, 14,042 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
- Oct 21, 2026 · 10-team dynasty SuperflexJustin Jefferson + two 2027 2nds + 2029 1st for Bijan RobinsonToday on the Dynasty SF board: 6,700 for his side, 7,248 for the otherCheck it at today's values, in its league's settings
Equal value today · Swindlr's estimate
Not real trades: packages that land within a few percent of Justin's value in Dynasty SF now. Open one in the calculator to see who wins it.
Head to head
- Week 8 start/sitJustin vs Zay Flowers
- Week 8 start/sitJustin vs Garrett Wilson
- DynastyJustin vs KC Concepcion Jr.
- DynastyJustin vs Parker Washington
In your league
Make the move for Justin.
Values are Swindlr's estimates for 12-team leagues, updated with every week's stats (through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)). "In a year" is the same production a year older, on the age curve the model is tuned with; news, role changes and the next rookie class aren’t in it. Stats: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0).
Stats from Sleeper’s weekly stat lines, regular season, through week 8 of 2026 (in progress) (nflverse’s box scores fill a week Sleeper lacks); teams and injuries from Sleeper, Oct 30. Where the numbers come from.