Scouting report · WR · Chicago

Luther Burden III

A top-24 receiver in Superflex TE-premium dynasty leagues, right in the prime of the curve.

#45 overall · age 22 · 2025 round 2, pick 39 · 2nd season

CHIWide receiver · WR16

PPR points a game

8.52025
13.92026 · 7 G

Current outlook

This week · week 8 · PPR

12.3WR22

@ SEA · Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 p.m. ET

No injury designation · injury data read Fri, Oct 30, 2:36 a.m. ET

Sleeper's projection, read Fri, Oct 30, 2:36 a.m. ET, scored by Swindlr

Rest of season · redraft ppr

#73 · WR30

Value 2,062 · 12 teams · see it

Dynasty · SF TE+

#45 · WR16

Value 4,086 · 12 teams

Latest15 real trades for him in public Sleeper leagues, the sample's last two weeks

Dynasty value · SF TE+

4,086

▲ 616 · last 3 weeks of games

Rank

#45 · WR16

Overall · position

2026 PPR / game

13.9

WR26 at the position

Age

22

2 seasons in

In a year

Same

4,035 · about #44 next year

Value through each week · 2026 · SF TE+

Recalculated: today's model on the games through each week, valued at today's point in the season. It shows what each week's games did to his value, not the values Swindlr showed at the time.

Swindlr records its published values weekly from Oct 28, 2026; they'll appear here as a record beside this chart.

Every format

12-team leagues. Tap a format to see him in it.

Where his value comes from · SF TE+

This season 7%Next two seasons 28%Later 65%

69% of it is upside, the model's allowance for him outplaying his projection of 11.5 a game; the projection alone is worth the other 31%. That allowance comes from how widely players at his position score around their projections, set wider in a player's first three seasons and for seasons further off, and it's the least certain part of the number: a valuation that counts less of it would price him lower. The projection weighs this season's 13.9 a game over 7 games against last season's 8.5 and his draft slot, giving less weight to last season when his role has grown, and it moves as the games pile up.

Splits

Regular season · week 7 of 2026

SeasonGTgtRecRec ydsRec TDRush ydsPPR / G
20251560476522378.5
20267473549122913.9

2026 week by week · PPR points

Wk 19.5Wk 26.2Wk 319.8Wk 411.4Wk 58.9Wk 617.5Wk 723.7

What he's worth in a trade

SF TE+

Real trades · 225 in the last year · 185 in dynasty Superflex leagues

The last 90 days of the sample, dynasty leagues: 65 trades, 53 Superflex or 2QB and 12 one-QB, 46 with a TE premium. Every trade with him, by format →

Real trades are mixed on him

In 9 SF TE+ trades since September where he went alone, what changed hands came to about 0.81× his value here (the middle half of them 0.47× to 1.0×): no clear lean either way.

What managers actually gave for Luther in completed trades in public Sleeper leagues, leagues like SF TE+ first. Each shows the date and the league's settings; the price is what was agreed then, and the line under it is today's value, a different thing. Two-team trades of up to four pieces a side; none is left out for disagreeing with Swindlr. No league or manager names. 5 of them look lopsided at today's values (values move after a trade, with injuries and role changes, so a fair price then can look lopsided now); none is left out.

Equal value today · Swindlr's estimate

Not real trades: packages that land within a few percent of Luther's value in SF TE+ now. Open one in the calculator to see who wins it.

Harold Fannin Jr.TE · 12.4 proj ppg · compare · check it4,107
Quinshon JudkinsRB · 12.6 proj ppg · compare · check it4,118
Jordan LoveQB · 17.4 proj ppg · compare · check it4,162

Head to head

In your league

Make the move for Luther.

Values are Swindlr's estimates for 12-team leagues, updated with every week's stats (through week 7 of 2026). "In a year" is the same production a year older, on the age curve the model is tuned with; news, role changes and the next rookie class aren’t in it. Stats: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0).

Stats from Sleeper’s weekly stat lines, regular season, through week 7 of 2026 (nflverse’s box scores fill a week Sleeper lacks); teams and injuries from Sleeper, Oct 29. Where the numbers come from.