Two players, one answer.

Adonai Mitchell vs Jonnu Smith

Any format · this week start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 62% held up in 2025

Lean Adonai Mitchell

On Sleeper's projections, Adonai Mitchell is projected 2.7 points ahead of Jonnu Smith. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 62% of the time. A lean, not a lock.

WR · NYJ

Adonai Mitchell

4.7 projected

vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ET

7.1 a game this season · last 3: 9, 12.3, 0

TE · GB

Jonnu Smith

2.0 projected

vs CAR · Thu 8:15 PM ET

3.9 a game this season · last 3: 3.6, 2.9, 1.9

What the call rests on

  • Adonai Mitchell: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 3:50 PM ET
  • Jonnu Smith: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 3:50 PM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 3:57 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.
Same projections, scoredMitchellSmith
PPR4.72
Half PPR3.91.6
Standard31.1

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 2.7 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Jonnu Smith plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Adonai Mitchell's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.