Two players, one answer.
AJ Barner vs T.J. Hockenson
This week
Start T.J. Hockenson · 10.8 to 8.1 projected (Week 9, PPR)
Rest of season
T.J. Hockenson by 54% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
About even (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · PPR · 63% held up in 2025
Lean T.J. Hockenson
On Sleeper's projections, T.J. Hockenson is projected 2.7 points ahead of AJ Barner. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 63% of the time. A lean, not a lock.
TE · MIN
T.J. Hockenson
10.8 projected
vs BUF · Mon 8:15 PM ET
11.2 a game this season · last 3: 1.7, 13.5, 15.8
TE · SEA
AJ Barner
8.1 projected
vs ARI · Sun 4:25 PM ET
6 a game this season · last 3: 4.6, 8.6, 4.3
What the call rests on
- T.J. Hockenson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 7:40 PM ET
- AJ Barner: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 7:40 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Nov 3, 7:41 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Tue, Nov 3, 7:41 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Hockenson | Barner |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 10.8 | 8.1 |
| Half PPR | 8.5 | 6.6 |
| Standard | 6.2 | 5.2 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 2.7 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- AJ Barner plays first (Sun 4:25 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before T.J. Hockenson's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.