Two players, one answer.
Chuba Hubbard vs Justin Jefferson
This week
Toss-up · 18.4 to 16.7 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
About even (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Justin Jefferson by 25% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 58% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Justin Jefferson is projected 1.7 points ahead of Chuba Hubbard. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 58% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · MIN
Justin Jefferson
18.4 projected
@ DET · Sun 1:00 PM ET
14.4 a game this season · last 3: 5.2, 18.8, 8.4
RB · CAR
Chuba Hubbard
— final · points pending · 16.7 projected
@ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET
18 a game this season · last 3: 25.9, 19.1, 10
- Chuba Hubbard's game has already kicked off, so most platforms have locked him in or out for this week.
What the call rests on
- Justin Jefferson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 2:30 AM ET
- Chuba Hubbard: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 2:30 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 2:36 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 2:36 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Jefferson | Hubbard |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 18.4 | 16.7 |
| Half PPR | 15.1 | 15.1 |
| Standard | 11.8 | 13.5 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.7 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Chuba Hubbard 13.5, Justin Jefferson 11.8.
- Chuba Hubbard plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Justin Jefferson's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.