Two players, one answer.

Dallas Goedert vs Jake Ferguson

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Dallas Goedert is projected 0.4 points ahead of Jake Ferguson. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

TE · PHI

Dallas Goedert

10.1 projected

@ WAS · Sun 8:20 PM ET

11.4 a game this season · last 3: 9.8, 12.1, 9.8

TE · DAL

Jake Ferguson

9.7 projected

vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM ET

6.4 a game this season · last 3: 4.9, 3.3, 0

What the call rests on

  • Dallas Goedert: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 12:30 PM ET
  • Jake Ferguson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 12:30 PM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 12:33 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 12:33 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredGoedertFerguson
PPR10.19.7
Half PPR8.48
Standard6.76.2

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.4 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Jake Ferguson plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Dallas Goedert's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.