Two players, one answer.
Joe Burrow vs Trevor Lawrence
This week
Toss-up · 21.4 to 21.4 projected (Week 8, Standard)
Rest of season
Joe Burrow by 23% (Redraft standard)Dynasty
Joe Burrow by 13% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · Standard · 50% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Joe Burrow and Trevor Lawrence are projected level. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
QB · CIN
Joe Burrow
21.4 projected
vs TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ET
22.2 a game this season · last 3: 25.7, 24.6, 28.9
QB · JAX
Trevor Lawrence
21.4 projected
vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET
19.7 a game this season · last 3: 13.1, 22.7, 28.3
What the call rests on
- Joe Burrow: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 7:50 AM ET
- Trevor Lawrence: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 7:50 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 7:54 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 7:54 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.